NASA recently announced the discovery of an asteroid named YR4, which has a 2.2% chance of colliding with Earth in 2032. While the probability is low, the potential consequences are severe enough to spark widespread concern. If the asteroid were to hit, it could unleash destruction equivalent to multiple nuclear explosions. This has led to discussions about how humanity might prevent such a catastrophe, with many turning to two prominent figures for hope: Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos.
The YR4 asteroid, first detected in December 2024, is massive and has been labeled a “killer asteroid” by experts. Although the European Space Agency has emphasized that the likelihood of impact is minimal, the 2.2% chance is still one of the highest recorded in recent years. This has prompted speculation about how to deflect the asteroid or, if necessary, ensure humanity’s survival.
Some believe Musk and Bezos could play a pivotal role in addressing this threat. Douglas MacKinnon, a former White House official, has suggested that the two billionaires collaborate to establish off-world bases for humanity. Musk’s SpaceX has long championed the idea of colonizing Mars, while Bezos’ Blue Origin could contribute its expertise in space exploration. MacKinnon argues that spreading humanity across multiple planets is essential to safeguarding our species from existential threats, whether from asteroids, nuclear war, or other dangers.
NASA is also exploring ways to redirect the asteroid using technologies like kinetic impactors or nuclear weapons. The agency’s successful DART mission in 2022 demonstrated the potential to alter an asteroid’s trajectory. However, if these efforts fail, evacuation plans for the affected region may become necessary. Experts remain optimistic, noting that the probability of impact is likely to decrease as more data is collected. For now, the world watches and waits, hoping that science and innovation will prevail.
